Vin Crosbie's Personal Blog

For his business blog, visit http://www.digitaldeliverance.com

The Digital Deliverance Newsletter

More than 20 years ago, the Mass Media industries myopically and thus catastrophically bet their future on the wrong path adapting to personal computer-mediated technologies.

They mistook prerequisites and superficialities, such as ‘convergence’, ‘digital first,’ and ‘do what you do best and link to the rest,’ as the major and ultimate metamorphoses that these technologies wrought in the media environment.

They expected the websites that they built would yield net profits equal or larger than their printed or broadcast services and products had earned, thereby sustaining themselves into the future.

Despite forewarnings, they shortsightedly failed to perceive and comprehend ever much greater (indeed, epochal) changes that were then already underway. Some of the Mass Media industries have blithely trod this rapidly obsolete path for more than a quarter century, despite it having so obviously led them into disaster and accelerating towards their eventual doom.

With exceedingly rare exceptions, these industries in developed nations have now lost more than half their consumer audiences (readerships, listenerships, or viewerships), more than two-thirds their advertising clientele, and more than half their gross revenues when the numbers are adjusted for population growth or inflation in the economy. Less prideful or less hidebound industries would long ago have realized, nonetheless admitted, that their adaptation strategy to personal computer-mediated technologies is a deluded debacle and instantly alter strategy.

This disaster is an industrial-scale example of the Einstellung Effect — a cognitive bias in which industry executives who aren’t used to a radical change employ outmoded but familiar methods to solve unprecedented problems, doing so even when they’ve been forewarned that more appropriate and efficient new solutions exists. In the cases of the Mass Media industries, they formulated, implemented, and have continued an adaptation strategy that might have seemed to them relevant during the 1990s but which subsequently failed to keep abreast even greater changes that the ever accelerating developments in computer-mediated technologies have wrought since then.

The Digital Deliverance newsletter will explain:

  1. What wrong path the Mass Media industries took;
  2. Why that path was wrong;
  3. What those industries should instead have done;
  4. How those industries own journalists and academicians inadvertently hampered their industries’ successful adaptation
  5. What opportunities the Mass Media industries might be able to salvage.

Consequently, it will also explain what are now being called Individuated Media and which in effect are a new and unprecedented genus of media that have already replaced the Mass Media as the predominant means by which most people in the world obtain news, entertainment, and other information, and why that is demonstrably so.

In English-language idiom, that’s known as ‘a tall order’. Why should I be writing it and you be reading it? Compare my credential against those of others who would purport to explain these things:

• My name is Vin Crosbie. I’ve worked for the past 32 years full-time advising the Mass Media industries how to adapt to personal computer-mediated technologies. (For the prior 15 years, I’ve was an executive with News Corp., Reuters, the original United Press International, the owner of a daily newspaper, and the fifth generation of my family in the media management business.) My consulting company Digital Deliverance, LLC, is 30 years old. I’ve consulted to clients on five continents.

• The decade-year-old International Journal of New Media Studies requested my permission to use my seminal 2002 essay What is New Media? as the very first thing it published.

• I’ve co-chaired and co-moderated the World Association of News Publishers’ Beyond the Printed Word conference in Vienna, as well as been a speaker at most of the developed world’s major media conferences.

• I’ve given the Republic of Singapore’s Annual Media Lecture in its National Library auditorium, with an introduction by Singapore’s President.

• I was the first person, only industry consultant, and only academician, quoted in the Congressional Research Service’s report The U.S. Newspaper Industry in Transition, to brief the U.S. Congress about that industry’s disastrous problems adapting to the future.

• My speech to the National Association of Broadcasters conference was one of 23 orations — including speeches by Barack Obama, George W. Bush, and Hillary Clinton — selected by a team of speech professors for publication in the anthology Representative American Speeches.

• Although I lack university or college degrees, I was enlisted in 2007 by Syracuse University’s S.I. Newhouse School of Public Communications, America’s premiere school of broadcasting, to write and teach New Media Business, a required course for master’s degree students in New Media and in Media Management. I continued as that course’s exclusive teacher until 2021 when I retired from scheduled teaching of graduate students and returned to consulting. I’ve also taught similar courses at Rhodes University in South Africa; and lectured at Peking and Tsinghua universities in China and at the University of Southern California, University of California at Berkeley, University of Missouri, and Virginia Commonwealth University in the U.S.A.

• At their invitation, I’ve presented academic papers at the biennial World Media Economics and Management Conferences and at the International Media Academics Association. Much of what I will explain in this newsletter has been published in the Journal of Strategic Innovation and Sustainability, among other scholarly journals.

As is clear from my tone, I am direct and radically dissident from my consulting competitors or other media professors. I realistically expect that what I write will cause controversy and result in outrage or rejection by the very people who caused the Mass Media industries to trod for more than two decades along the wrong path into the 21st Century. Those industries’ wake-up call is overdue. So, please subscribe to The Digital Deliverance newsletter via Substack. There is a free version for general readers who don’t need to implement specific solutions, plus a paid version (US$8 per month) for media executives and which details how to solve the serious difficulties and grave challenges they face.  Read how.

The ‘Threat’ of Chinese Auto Manufacturers


The last hútòng (胡同) I explored was in the year 2000, in the southern suburbs of Beijing. Many of its residents still wore drab green or grey uniform ‘Mao’ suits. A hútòng is a neighborhood of streets and narrow alleys separating blocks of one- or two-story traditional Chinese multi-family houses containing common courtyards. You’ll rarely find a hútòng in any populous city in China. During the past quarter century — yes, it’s been that long, most hútòngs have been razed and replaced by towering modern apartment blocks. Hundreds of thousands of hútòngs gone. During that time, China’s economy has advanced 600%; 850 million of China’s  1.4 billion people were lifted above the poverty line,  and by 2030 (only four years) it is predicted by Western analysts that 27% of Chinese adults with have college educations — that same percentage as Germans.

Meanwhile, the U.S. economy has grown 310% since 2000, the number Americans living under the poverty line has increase from 12.2% to 15.9%, and literacy has dropped to 79% to 80% — meaning that one out of every five Americans struggles to read, 21% are functionally illiterate, and half of the population reads at no better than a sixth-grade level (an 11 to 12-year old level). These declines have demonstratively shifted American politics.

In the nearly four decades 1988, only two Republicans have won the White House: George W. Bush and Donald Trump. Thoughtful, probative, and politically experienced Republican nominees as Robert Dole, John McCain, and Mitt Romney lost elections. Starting in 2008 to compensate, the Republican party largely stopped campaigning about policies that compete with those of Democrat candidates and began competing about what it calls ‘cultural’ ‘ issues: the Starbucks coffee chain no longer printing ‘Merry Christmas’ on its cups, Barack Obama wearing a brown suit, there being ‘transgendered’ athletes (perhaps hundreds of them within a nation of more than 300 million people!) competing in scholastic athletic games, about immigrants allegedly eating natives’ pets, wind turbines allegedly causing cancer, scientifically-proven human-caused climate change being a ‘hoax’, alleged Jewish ‘space lasers’ causing forest fires, about the 66% of Americans who are Christians allegedly being discriminated against by the majority of Americans, and other dingbat conspiracy theories and what I call ‘conservative twinkie’ issues that rile the gullible and illiterate among Americans into voting for whomever deceitfully utters such lies.

Hence, a minority of American voters (i.e., slightly under 50%), perhaps the 50% who read at a sixth-grade level, in 2024 knowingly and willfully voted a multiply-convicted felon and known (“rape,” the trial judge called it) sex offender into the Oval Office.

For nearly 80 In China, there is a dictatorship by one political party over that nation. No political opposition or dissent is allowed. Why have 1.4 billion Chinese citizens not overthrown that? Because 100 million Chinese Communist Party members permeate that nation, totally control the police and military, and for decades have struck an unwritten agreement with the rest of the populace: ‘allow our dictatorship and we will bring hundreds of millions of you out of poverty and make you effectively as rich as people in the world’s developed nations.’ Western experts now consider between 400 million and 700 million Chinese to be ‘middle class’.

When Chinese Communist statesman and political theorist Deng Xiaoping came to power in 1980, he radically reshaped Communist economic theory and policies. He knew China’s historical mercantile power and had studied the modern economic rises of Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan. While keeping his political party’s dictatorship, he rejected classical (i.e., 19th Century) Marxist economic policy of a totally party-run economy and embraced economic capitalism in China. He specifically, created an economic system in which the Chinese people are free to own and run businesses, properties, and equities, yet the Chinese Communist Party still can modify the nation’s economic course if it sees fit. “it doesn’t matter if the cat is black or white, if it catches mice it is a good cat,” He remarked. It has been Deng’s economic policies that have caused China’s economy t become the world’s largest (if not yet richest) and lifted more than half of all Chinese out of poverty.

What do I mean by the Chinese Communist Party can modify that nation’s economic course if it sees fit? Deng and his fellow party members realized that China needed infrastructure yet that no startup or established Chinese company had the financial or technical wherewithal to build such infrastructure. So, the Chinese government gave ‘seed’ money to thousands of Chinese entrepreneur who wanted to start construction companies and industries. The government’s expectation was that most of these entrepreneurs, competing against one another, would fail, but that the remaining ones would prove competent and financially solid. The result was that 190,700 kilometers (118,500 miles) of superhighways have been built in China (compared to 78,680 kilometers or 48,890 miles of superhighway in the larger U.S.)  China now has 50,400 kilometers (31,318 miles) of high-speed passenger rail, compared to a mere 137 kilometers (85 miles) in the U.S. Chinese college and universities also have been beneficiaries of these policies. In the U.S., 40 percent of working age Americans have college degrees compared to nearly 27% of Chinese, yet 49% of the world’s patents last year were filed by Chinese compared to 18% by Americans.

I’m not a communist and deplore the Chinese Communist Party’s rule. In fact, I’ve seen first-hand how the rights of Chinese citizens have regressed under President Xi Jinping’s dictatorship. For example, When during 2000 I lectured at Peking University (China’s version of Harvard), no political discussions were permitted, particularly in front of foreigners such as myself. Yet when I lectured at Tsinghua University (China’s version of Yale) during 2010, Chinese faculty professors opening argued with each other about politics and human rights. But since Xi took office, things are back to where they were during 2000. Nonetheless, it was very savvy of his predecessor Deng to have realized that the economics of classical were obsolete and to adopt market capitalism run by then Chinese Communist Party. That isn’t classical communist-run economics like the Soviet Union and its satellite countries used, in which the party micromanages everything and owns everything. The failures of the Soviet Union and its satellites amply demonstrates than classical Marxist economics doesn’t work. Instead, this is communist-run capitalism; a form of state-run, non-micromanaged capitalism which has made China a developed nation, made Communist Vietnam the fastest-growing economy in the world, and earlier made developed nations the western nations of Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan. (note: although Japan was rebuilt by the U.S. after World War II, it has been solely self-governing since 1960 and has since become the world’s third largest economy during the six decades since.)

My acquaintances who are American conservatives abhor the idea of the state having anything to do with the economy. They advocate the classical 18th-Century laissez-faire capitalism of Adam Smith in which governments have no roles in economies. I, however, believe that the incredible economic growth and success of China, Vietnam, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan (as well as perhaps Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Norway) illuminate the obsolescence of that 18th-Century economics. The state can and should take a strategic role over the tactics of the market. That role includes not just ‘keeping an even playing field’ but using governmental sovereign wealth to seed or incentivize the direction of the market. (Some of my American conservative acquaintances are nowadays actually advocating governmental strategic support for the U.S. semiconductor industry and possibly the industries behind Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Computing!)

Which brings me back to subject of Chinese automobiles. It was almost non-existent prior to Deng taking power, yet since 2009 it has been world’s largest and most competitive automobile industry. Although Detroit produces automobiles with more cup-holders, China produced technologically superior and more luxurious automobile for less cost than anywhere on the planet. Indeed, nearly half a decade ago the Chinese government foresaw electric vehicle as the world’s primary type of automobiles in the future, and poured money into startup or established Chinese automobile manufacturers who could efficiently and lucratively produce such vehicles. Last year, the Chinese manufacturer BYD surpassed the U.S. firm Tesla as the world’s largest manufacturer of electric vehicles.

My first experience with a Chinese automobile was about five years ago in Almaty, Kazakhstan’s largest city. I rode in a BYD sports utility vehicle of technological sophistication and luxury beyond what I was used to in Europe or North America. Some American kneejerk conservatives might be tempted to claim that such vehicle might not be safe. However, Volvo is now a Chinese automobile company; the Chinese auto industry manufacturers its vehicle to European safety standards; and, as a few million Australians might now tell you, Chinese vehicles don’t lack for safety.

I think (no, I know) that Chinese automobiles are far superior to U.S. for their price. Should Chinese automobile brand dealerships appear in the U.S., as they have appeared in Australia and some European nations, their competition would put most Ford, General Motors, and Stellaris (the former Chrysler) dealerships out of business. For such reasons, President Biden banned Chinese brands from the U.S. automobile market, a ban Donald Trump has continued. Traditional capitalism dictates that consumers should be given their choice of products. Yet the Republican party threw out traditional capitalism when it nominated Trump. However, what motivation do U.S. automobile manufacturers have to improve their products? Is it only the competition among themselves? Or should they compete against other nations’ automobiles, as they already do those from Germany, France, Japan, South Korea, and the U.K.? When does a ban become destructive to its own supposed beneficiaries?

You be the judge. Consider Marquis Brownlee‘s (20.7 million YouTube subscribers) review of the Xiaomi’s SU7, which is just one of the new models of automobiles manufactured in China.

What do you think of it and this international trade issue?

For My Fellow Connecticut Yankees

I’ve never regretted being born and living most of my life in bucolic Connecticut.

Shooting Immersive Videos

Join my wife and I in a video experiment: I’ve lately begun creating ‘immersive videos.’ For example, this one from aboard a tourist cruise on the Bosporus.

After being trained in still photography 50 years ago (i.e., 1973-1976 at the Rochester Institute of Technology, back then sometimes known as ‘Kodak’s Photo School’, I mostly switched to videography two years ago. Moreover, I’ve now begun experimenting with immersive videos, what some people call ‘360 video’ but (to describe it more accurately) shoot video 360-degrees in all directions. For example, if you’re viewing this 31-minute video, you’ll probably be able to experience what I mean by immersive. This technology was initially created for viewing in Virtual Reality googles. However, it can also be used with goggle the way this video demonstrates:

  • If you’re viewing this blog post on a television’s YouTube app, sorry, but the effect won’t work (even if you were crazy enough to move the television in a circle).
  • If you’re viewing this blog post via a smartphone or tablet, click on the video to start it (if it hasn’t already), then move your device in a circle, semi-circle, or some other wide motion. The video’s viewpoint will change with your movement so that you can see in any direction you want.
  • If you’re viewing this blog post via a laptop or desktop computer, click on the video to start (if it hasn’t already) then use your mouse or trackpad to change the video’s viewpoint.

My wife and I had some spare time during October while in Istanbul, so we boarded a tourist cruise boat on the Bosporus shortly before sunset (scroll the video ahead until its last quarter.)

My first experience with this cutting-edge of video actually began nine years ago when while teaching postgraduate New Media Business I purchase a Samsung Gear 360 camera. Resembling a white tennis ball atop a tiny tripod, the Gear 360 camera could capture immersive still photos and immersive video. Unfortunately, its videos and still photos were only in HD resolution (1920×1080 pixels) and viewable only via Samsung’s special software. By contrast, this 4K-resolution (3840 x 2160) video was shot with a pole-mounted DJI Osmo 360 camera which is the size and shape of a cigarette pack. (If the quality of this video isn’t 4K when you view it, click the YouTube ‘gear’ icon and switch to a higher resolution version.)

What I like about shooting immersive video is that had I missed something interesting that occurred behind, atop, or under me after I finished shooting the video, I can later edit the video as if I had intended to capture that occurrence. I also like immersive videos because these allow the viewer the ability to anything and everything that occurs around the camera.

While in Istanbul, I also shot immersive videos while walking through that city’s famous bazaars. I also shot some inside mosques in Istanbul and later Cairo. I post some of those here in the coming weeks.

Click Singing in Xhosa

Yesterday, I posted the Ndlovu Youth Choir of the Republic of South Africa singing Queen‘s Bohemian Rhapsody in the Isizulu language, and I noted that language’s click consonants which are common to Bantu languages but virtually unknown in Indo-European or East Asia languages. Enjoy this six-minute video of South African singer Siki Jo-Ann singing in Xhosa language of South Africa, the second most popular native language in that nation, a wonderful language in which clicking is most prominent. It starts with a two-minute humorous skit between a white South African and a black South African joking about those clicks. Siki Jo-Ann enters at the two and one-half minute mark, singing the clicks of Xhosa.

Zulu Queen

And why not Queen‘s Bohemian Rhapsody sung in Isizulu by the Ndlovu Youth Choir of the Republic of South Africa?

isiZulu (note the lower-case initial i) is a Southern Bantu language of the Nguni branch spoken in, and indigenous to, Southern Africa. It’s one of the Republic of South Africa’s official language, spoken by a quarter of that nation’s population, and was the native language of Nelson Mandela. I first heard it during 2009 while working at Rhodes University in South Africa’s Eastern Cape province. You’ll hear in it some of the click consonants common to Bantu languages, a common sound unheard of in Indo-European or the languages of East Asia. (Tomorrow, I think that I’ll post a video clip of Siki Jo-Ann who sings in the Xhosa language of South Africa, the second most popular native language in the nation, a wonderful language in which clicking is most prominent.)

Stop Acting Like This is Normal

Four weeks after one-time convicted felon Adolph Hitler was inaugurated as German Chancellor and 92 years before the 34-times convicted felon Donald Trump‘s second inauguration as President of the United States, and four weeks after Adolph Hitler was inaugurated as German Chancellor, Dutch pyromaniac Marinus van der Lubbe, set afire the German Reichstag parliament building. Arriving at the scene in Berlin, Hitler called the fire a “sign from God” and during the following day triggered the German ‘Enabling Act‘, emergency legislation that suspended not only the homeless German legislature but also suspended freedoms of speech, assembly, and other civil rights throughout Germany. He alone became the absolute dictator of that nation. German freedoms and civil rights wouldn’t begin to be restored until a dozen years later when conquering Allied troops seized Berlin from the Nazis.

Hitler, a felon who in 1923 fomented a violent, failed uprising for which he served prison time, had better initial luck than Trump, now a convicted American felon who four years ago fomented a violent, failed uprising for which he is unpunished and on the loose, seized the Reichstag fire as excuse to gain a dictatorship. So, Trump has concocted an ’emergency,’ claiming that a Venezuelan-based drug cartel has ‘invaded’ the U.S. He fraudulently (he is, after all, a convicted fraud) claims that this permits him to trigger the little-known Enemy Aliens Act of 1798, which permits a U.S. president to deport, without trial or judicial hearing, foreigners who he believes are a threat to the nation. The Enemy Aliens Act was controversial 227 years ago, nonetheless today. Although federal courts have now blocked Trump’s implementation of the Enemy Aliens Act, he nevertheless has used it as a lynchpin to seize more dictatorial control of the nation than any president during the past 80 years or more.

In this 19-minute video podcast, American political commentator and journalist Ezra Klein compares American citizen’s slow reactions to Trump increasingly dictatorial seizure of power as akin to the metaphor of frogs who don’t yet realize that they are being fatally boiled because of how gradually the heat is being applied; how so accustomed they have become to the gradually increasing danger until the realization of dangers comes too late. He issues an alarm, an alarm call to America to stop acting as if MAGA politics is normal.

Welcome to the 21st Century: the Bulletproof Volvo

Stuck in traffic? Worried about those other drivers or pedestrians? For decades, Volvos has been renowned for automotive safety in case of collisions. Yet why not purchase a Volvo armored against terrorists, MAGA cultists (i.e., we know they don’t purchase Volvos), and psychopathic citizens? Yes, to fit your modern lifestyle, you too can purchase a large family SUVs XC60 and XC90 with bulletproof protective armoring. These vehicles, now available from any Volvo dealers, are ballistically certified to NIJ IIIA standards in combination with VPAM 2009, the extensive 360° armoring can help protect all occupants in the event of a security threat. Available in both electric and hybrid gasoline/electric versions, these cars are available both to private and corporate customers.

America Ranks Behind 20 Other Nations in its Citizens’ Inability to Pay for a Healthy Diet

Graph by Voronoi for Visual Capitalist.

So, why has the United States government, led by a convicted multiple felon, reduced the federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), the country’s largest nutrition assistance program? More than 42 million Americans use the SNAP program, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture data. According to that department , more than 62% of SNAP participants are in families with children, and more than 38% are in working families. The State of New Mexico has the largest share participating in SNAP, with some 21% of the population helped by the program. The program provides crucial support for families with low-paying jobs, low-income older adults, people with disabilities and others.

The answer is Republican politicians’ evil disregard for struggling citizens. Lack of healthy nutrition for those citizens is an actual problem. Yet that problem isn’t as important as are continuing cuts to the wealthiest citizens’ taxes. It more important to Republican politicians that the small minority (i.e., fewer than 5 percent of the population) of citizens, who can easily afford adequate nutrition, pay ever smaller taxes, then are the actual struggles of a larger number of citizens in need of adequate nutrition. After all, didn’t doomed Queen Marie Antoinette say to her to struggling French families with low-paying jobs and low-income French senior citizens who couldn’t afford bread, “Let them eat cake!” Today’s MAGA Republican party would be proud of her!

Find a Great Deal via GulagAdvisor!

Perhaps it will be like the ‘Hotel California’ in that eponymous song by the Eagles: ‘You can check out any time you like, but you can never leave.”

North Korean murderous dictator Kim Jong-Un and his family open his nation’s Wonsan-Kalma seaside tourist resort town. Where might tourism come from to fill the resort town’s 20,000 hotel beds? Russia seems to be the likely answer. Western economic sanctions against Russia for its disastrous invasion of the Ukraine has greatly limited the nations in which Russians can vacation (Egypt, Dubai, and Thailand are among the nations that still allow them). Frequent flyer Ben Schlappig offers some thoughts at Wonsan-Kalma.

My Favorite Beach in the World

I’ve swum in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian oceans and the Caribbean and Mediterranean seas. I’ve trod the beaches of numerous American, Mexican, Brazilian, Hawaiian, Caribbean, South African, Balinese, and Persian Gulf beaches. Yet my favorite beach in the world, where I’ve lately been staying, is this one on my wife’s native island. It is superb, always sunny year-round, and free to use.

See why in this six-minute video.